Our approach

How we value assets without a ticker.

Watches don't trade on an exchange. Prices are scattered across marketplaces, dealers and auction houses, and condition varies from piece to piece. ObiFID's job is to turn that into numbers you can rely on, and to be clear about how far you can rely on each one.

01

What we measure

The questions a finance professional would ask about any asset:

  • Fair value for a specific model and condition
  • What an owner actually nets after buying and selling costs, not just the price change
  • Liquidity: how quickly a watch could realistically be sold
  • Risk: how much prices swing and how far they have fallen from past peaks
  • Market conditions: sentiment, supply, momentum and where the market sits in its cycle
02

Realized prices first

What watches actually sold for carries the most weight. Asking prices are informative but are adjusted before use, never taken at face value.

03

Like-for-like comparisons

Prices are compared on a consistent condition and configuration (dial, bracelet, box and papers). A shift in what happens to be listed is not reported as a change in value.

04

Clean inputs

The same watch listed in several places counts once. Relists are merged. Listings that look too good to be true are screened before they can influence a value or appear as a bargain.

05

Honest about uncertainty

Every figure comes with a range, a data-quality grade from A to E and plain-language flags such as "few recent sales" or "asking prices only". When the data is too thin, ObiFID says "insufficient data" rather than guessing.

06

Descriptive, not predictive

We measure the market as it is. We don't forecast prices, promise returns or tell anyone what to buy or sell.

07

Independent

ObiFID is analytics only: it doesn't buy, sell, broker or hold watches. Rankings and valuations can't be bought, and any referral links will be labeled and kept separate from results.

08

Reproducible

Every figure is timestamped and tied to the data and model version that produced it, so it can be checked and explained later.

09

The ObiFID Watch Index

A rules-based index of the secondary watch market, with a companion index showing returns after costs. The full rulebook will be published before the first release, and any later changes will be announced in advance.

Questions or suggestions about our approach: partners@obifid.com.